Conceivable Crises: Unpredictable in 2017, Unmanageable in 2020?

Addressing vulnerability and promoting security
Posted Jan 10, 2018 | European Union Institute for Security Studies, Florence Gaub, Daniel Fiott, Julia Lisiecka et al

In this collection of essays by the European Union Institute for Security Studies, Florence Gaub, Daniel Fiott, Julia Lisiecka et al focus on eleven scenarios that could come to pass in the near future. These highlight the EU’s strengths and weaknesses, specifically in decision-making and crisis management. Potential crises include: A repeat intervention by Russia in Ukraine; the disintegration of Bosnia-Herzegovina; the so-called Islamic State taking over an enfeebled African state; the toppling of Cameroon’s government; Japan acquiring nuclear weapons; and India and Pakistan starting another armed conflict.


http://www.css.ethz.ch/content/dam/ethz/special-interest/gess/cis/center-for-securities-studies/resources/docs/EUISS-Report_34_What_If_01-1.pdf

 

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