Between War and Peace: ‘Hybrid Threats’ and NATO’s Strategic Concept

Addressing vulnerability and promoting security
Posted Jul 07, 2022 | Hague Centre for Strategic Studies, Tim Sweijs

The Russia-Ukraine war has major implications for the prospect of hybrid threats in the 2020s, notes Tim Sweijs in his article for the Hague Centre for Strategic Studies. NATO is advised to ramp up its conventional forces, increase its strength and readiness, replenish its stocks, and enhance mobility. But once this front door is secure, cyber strategic actors are likely to increase their targeting of vital infrastructures from afar; manipulate public discourses and undermine democratic decision-making at scale and with speed The size and scale of hybrid campaigns under the threshold of large scale violence are of a different nature today due to globalisation and progressive digitalisation, which have opened new ways to project power and to wreak havoc. The author suggests that that NATO must shift from deterrence by reinforcement to deterrence by denial while it develops its counter hybrid posture


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